Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 59.077038 67.202338 75.563184 84.775968 94.610252 104.763442 116.007996
2025-07-06 44.922373 56.242522 68.497417 82.609906 98.280768 115.028650 134.163705
2025-07-13 39.530373 52.962205 68.016921 85.854861 106.149353 128.285002 154.027254
2025-07-20 34.794155 49.657928 66.851475 87.735315 111.984790 138.877451 170.595324
2025-07-27 29.850905 45.477348 64.136501 87.350941 114.826831 145.763634 182.713762
2025-08-03 25.574997 41.631181 61.414968 86.596302 116.930149 151.555034 193.373058
2025-08-10 22.551570 39.052495 59.974043 87.142008 120.365591 158.725345 205.480707
2025-08-17 19.464063 36.062802 57.759167 86.519000 122.224069 163.915267 215.184513
2025-08-24 17.126358 33.860389 56.366144 86.758939 124.997076 170.083468 225.950617
2025-08-31 14.651989 31.196708 54.163703 85.804226 126.171213 174.248038 234.282590
2025-09-07 13.201322 29.905413 53.699477 86.998714 129.941241 181.477054 246.205348
2025-09-14 11.996683 28.866886 53.494006 88.463198 134.001434 189.027070 258.495414
2025-09-21 10.221530 26.734998 51.649085 87.700836 135.237019 193.173107 266.787075
2025-09-28 8.303493 24.104545 48.909722 85.598166 134.659517 195.029409 272.279544
2025-10-05 7.933148 24.173959 50.131000 88.892710 141.040967 205.470534 288.161028
2025-10-12 7.275881 23.631421 50.382331 90.814240 145.620040 213.673133 301.333233
2025-10-19 6.185295 22.104132 49.028924 90.421617 147.117788 218.003747 309.767495
2025-10-26 5.150331 20.513695 47.467233 89.651718 148.056653 221.591717 317.263113
2025-11-02 4.473381 19.567596 46.866241 90.208506 150.726774 227.339204 327.401458
2025-11-09 3.680833 18.203053 45.489297 89.572832 151.750478 230.971082 334.910242
2025-11-16 3.114650 17.257752 44.744744 89.817654 153.930983 236.054437 344.205444
2025-11-23 2.461447 15.915095 43.225807 88.843476 154.404090 238.922591 350.726346
2025-11-30 2.148207 15.434748 43.179788 90.062303 157.870656 245.630694 362.038001